All readers of this blog are encouraged to submit election predictions for the Canadian Federal Election, which takes place Monday January 23, 2006. Simply add your predictions as a comment (or email me) - I will remove the comment and add your predictions to the main article. If you prefer that I refrain from posting your predictions until the last minute, I will oblige (though I have already posted my picks).
This is for glory only - and is not a money contest. Only picks submitted before the first polls close will be included.
Please pick:
1) Government Result
2) Seat Tally
3) Popular Vote
4) Provincial Winners
5) Special Bonus Questions
Scoring works as follows:
Points (which are bad) are given for results that diverge from reality. The person with the fewest accumulated points wins. Results will be posted in a followup blog entry.
1) Government Result
- receive 25 points if you get the wrong winner
- receive 15 points if you get the government type wrong (e.g. majority vs. minority)
2) Seat Tally
- receive 1 point for each seat you are off for each of the 5 main parties
3) Popular Vote
- receive 3 points for each % you are off each party's final vote count
4) Provincial Winners
- receive 10 points if you get the province winner wrong
Note: Yukon/NWT/Nunavut are grouped together as "Territories".
5) Bonus Questions
- receive 5 points if you get a bonus question wrong
a) Do the Conservatives win a seat in Quebec?
b) Do the Liberals win a seat in Alberta?
c) Who wins Vancouver-Centre?
d) Who wins Victoria?
e) Who wins Vancouver-Quadra?
f) Who wins Saanich-GulfIslands?
g) Who wins Burnaby-Douglas?
POOL PARTICIPANTSA. Snowy1.
Election ResultCONSERVATIVE MAJORITY2.
Seat TallyCON: 157,
LIB: 66,
BQ: 52,
NDP: 33,
OTH: 03.
Popular VoteCON: 39,
LIB: 27,
BQ: 11,
NDP: 17,
OTH: 64.
Provincial WinnersConservative: BC, Alta, Sask, Man, OntLiberal: Terr, NB, NS, Nfld, PEIBQ: Quebec5.
Bonus Questionsa) Do the Conservatives win a seat in Quebec?
YESb) Do the Liberals win a seat in Alberta?
NOc) Who wins Vancouver-Centre?
Liberald) Who wins Victoria?
NDPe) Who wins Vancouver-Quadra?
Liberalf) Who wins Saanich-GulfIslands?
Conservativeg) Who wins Burnaby-Douglas?
NDPB. Glenn1.
Election ResultCONSERVATIVE MINORITY2.
Seat TallyCON: 145,
LIB: 80,
BQ: 52,
NDP: 31,
OTH: 03.
Popular VoteCON: 38,
LIB: 29,
BQ: 12,
NDP: 17,
OTH: 44.
Provincial WinnersConservative: BC, Alta, Sask, Man, NB, NSLiberal: Terr, Ont, Nfld, PEIBQ: Quebec5.
Bonus Questionsa) Do the Conservatives win a seat in Quebec?
YESb) Do the Liberals win a seat in Alberta?
NOc) Who wins Vancouver-Centre?
Liberald) Who wins Victoria?
NDPe) Who wins Vancouver-Quadra?
Liberalf) Who wins Saanich-GulfIslands?
Conservativeg) Who wins Burnaby-Douglas?
NDPC. The Seahawk1.
Election ResultCONSERVATIVE MINORITY2.
Seat TallyCON: 147,
LIB: 75,
BQ: 55,
NDP: 31,
OTH: 03.
Popular VoteCON: 37,
LIB: 30,
BQ: 12,
NDP: 16,
OTH: 54.
Provincial WinnersConservative: BC, Alta, Sask, Man, OntLiberal: Terr, NB, NS, Nfld, PEIBQ: Quebec5.
Bonus Questionsa) Do the Conservatives win a seat in Quebec?
YESb) Do the Liberals win a seat in Alberta?
NOc) Who wins Vancouver-Centre?
Liberald) Who wins Victoria?
NDPe) Who wins Vancouver-Quadra?
Liberalf) Who wins Saanich-GulfIslands?
Conservativeg) Who wins Burnaby-Douglas?
NDPD. Dad1.
Election ResultCONSERVATIVE MAJORITY2.
Seat TallyCON: 155,
LIB: 83,
BQ: 47,
NDP: 23,
OTH: 03.
Popular VoteCON: 39,
LIB: 27,
BQ: 12,
NDP: 17,
OTH: 54.
Provincial WinnersConservative: BC, Alta, Sask, Man, NBLiberal: Ont, Terr, NS, Nfld, PEIBQ: Quebec5.
Bonus Questionsa) Do the Conservatives win a seat in Quebec?
YESb) Do the Liberals win a seat in Alberta?
NOc) Who wins Vancouver-Centre?
NDPd) Who wins Victoria?
NDPe) Who wins Vancouver-Quadra?
Liberalf) Who wins Saanich-GulfIslands?
Conservativeg) Who wins Burnaby-Douglas?
NDPE. Mum1.
Election ResultCONSERVATIVE MINORITY2.
Seat TallyCON: 146,
LIB: 75,
BQ: 48,
NDP: 29,
OTH: 03.
Popular VoteCON: 36,
LIB: 30,
BQ: 10,
NDP: 20,
OTH: 44.
Provincial WinnersConservative: BC, Alta, Man, OntLiberal: Terr, NB, NS, Nfld, PEINDP: SaskBQ: Quebec5.
Bonus Questionsa) Do the Conservatives win a seat in Quebec?
YESb) Do the Liberals win a seat in Alberta?
NOc) Who wins Vancouver-Centre?
NDPd) Who wins Victoria?
NDPe) Who wins Vancouver-Quadra?
NDPf) Who wins Saanich-GulfIslands?
Conservativeg) Who wins Burnaby-Douglas?
NDPF. Oaf1.
Election ResultCONSERVATIVE MINORITY2.
Seat TallyCON: 147,
LIB: 65,
BQ: 63,
NDP: 33,
OTH: 03.
Popular VoteCON: 36,
LIB: 27,
BQ: 12,
NDP: 20,
OTH: 54.
Provincial WinnersConservative: BC, Alta, Sask, Man, OntLiberal: Terr, NB, NS, Nfld, PEIBQ: Quebec5.
Bonus Questionsa) Do the Conservatives win a seat in Quebec?
NOb) Do the Liberals win a seat in Alberta?
YESc) Who wins Vancouver-Centre?
Liberald) Who wins Victoria?
NDPe) Who wins Vancouver-Quadra?
Liberalf) Who wins Saanich-GulfIslands?
Conservativeg) Who wins Burnaby-Douglas?
NDPG. Bumbly Bee1.
Election ResultLIBERAL MINORITY2.
Seat TallyCON: 108,
LIB: 120,
BQ: 40,
NDP: 40,
OTH: 03.
Popular VoteCON: 27,
LIB: 38,
BQ: 15,
NDP: 15,
OTH: 34.
Provincial WinnersConservative: Alta, Sask, Man, OntLiberal: BC, Terr, NB, NS, Nfld, PEIBQ: Quebec5.
Bonus Questionsa) Do the Conservatives win a seat in Quebec?
NOb) Do the Liberals win a seat in Alberta?
NOc) Who wins Vancouver-Centre?
Liberald) Who wins Victoria?
Conservativee) Who wins Vancouver-Quadra?
Liberalf) Who wins Saanich-GulfIslands?
Conservativeg) Who wins Burnaby-Douglas?
NDPH. Steel Curtain1.
Election ResultCONSERVATIVE MINORITY2.
Seat TallyCON: 125,
LIB: 97,
BQ: 57,
NDP: 29,
OTH: 03.
Popular VoteCON: 37,
LIB: 29,
BQ: 11,
NDP: 18,
OTH: 54.
Provincial WinnersConservative: BC, Alta, Sask, ManLiberal: Ont, Terr, NB, NS, Nfld, PEIBQ: Quebec5.
Bonus Questionsa) Do the Conservatives win a seat in Quebec?
YESb) Do the Liberals win a seat in Alberta?
NOc) Who wins Vancouver-Centre?
Liberald) Who wins Victoria?
NDPe) Who wins Vancouver-Quadra?
Liberalf) Who wins Saanich-GulfIslands?
Conservativeg) Who wins Burnaby-Douglas?
NDPI. Gned1.
Election ResultCONSERVATIVE MINORITY2.
Seat TallyCON: 134,
LIB: 86,
BQ: 58,
NDP: 30,
OTH: 03.
Popular VoteCON: 34,
LIB: 31,
BQ: 13,
NDP: 17,
OTH: 54.
Provincial WinnersConservative: BC, Alta, Sask, Man, OntLiberal: Terr, NB, NS, Nfld, PEIBQ: Quebec5.
Bonus Questionsa) Do the Conservatives win a seat in Quebec?
YESb) Do the Liberals win a seat in Alberta?
NOc) Who wins Vancouver-Centre?
NDPd) Who wins Victoria?
NDPe) Who wins Vancouver-Quadra?
Liberalf) Who wins Saanich-GulfIslands?
Conservativeg) Who wins Burnaby-Douglas?
NDPJ. Roggles1.
Election ResultCONSERVATIVE MAJORITY2.
Seat TallyCON: 158,
LIB: 67,
BQ: 49,
NDP: 34,
OTH: 03.
Popular VoteCON: 39,
LIB: 26,
BQ: 10,
NDP: 19,
OTH: 64.
Provincial WinnersConservative: BC, Alta, Sask, Man, Ont, NB, NSLiberal: Terr, Nfld, PEIBQ: Quebec5.
Bonus Questionsa) Do the Conservatives win a seat in Quebec?
YESb) Do the Liberals win a seat in Alberta?
NOc) Who wins Vancouver-Centre?
NDPd) Who wins Victoria?
NDPe) Who wins Vancouver-Quadra?
Liberalf) Who wins Saanich-GulfIslands?
Conservativeg) Who wins Barnaby Douglas?
Conservative